Skip to main content
icon for Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?
Politik·Primär

Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?

icon for Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?
Politik·Primär

Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?

$662,873 Vol.

2. Juni 2026
Polymarket

$662,873 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$42,236 Vol.

72%

Xavier Becerra

$14,026 Vol.

68%

Tom Steyer

$26,279 Vol.

54%

Matt Mahan

$23,131 Vol.

7%

Kyle Langford

$11,755 Vol.

4%

Chad Bianco

$34,432 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$1,453 Vol.

2%

Nicki Minaj

$3,958 Vol.

2%

Katie Porter

$11,692 Vol.

2%

Daniel Mercuri

$10,772 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$53,760 Vol.

2%

Ché Ahn

$18,442 Vol.

2%

Ian Calderon

$114,143 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$7,425 Vol.

1%

Ethan Agarwal

$3,522 Vol.

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$13,394 Vol.

1%

David Thelen

$1,327 Vol.

1%

Zoltan Istvan

$12,280 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$42,159 Vol.

1%

Carolina Buhler

$8,811 Vol.

1%

Betty Yee

$5,090 Vol.

1%

Leonard Jackson

$3,821 Vol.

1%

Butch Ware

$8,550 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$23,467 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$73,919 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,863 Vol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$525 Vol.

1%

Javen Allen

$1,161 Vol.

7%

Nicholas Thompson

$7,072 Vol.

1%

David Serpa

$4,924 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$4,581 Vol.

1%

Tony Thurmond

$12,064 Vol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$6,433 Vol.

1%

Ryan Tillman

$1,978 Vol.

1%

Dylan Colbert

$14,920 Vol.

1%

Sharifah Hardie

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California’s June 2, 2026 top-two primary for the open governor’s seat features a fragmented Democratic field that has kept vote shares low for most contenders, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco remain competitive. Recent polling averages place former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary Xavier Becerra narrowly ahead at roughly 19 percent, followed closely by Tom Steyer and Hilton near 17 percent, with Katie Porter, Chad Bianco, and Matt Mahan in single digits. Eric Swalwell’s earlier exit boosted Becerra’s standing, and Donald Trump’s endorsement of Hilton consolidated some Republican support. A final debate this week and the start of widespread mail voting could shift late-deciding voters before the top two advance regardless of party.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$662,873
Enddatum
2. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California’s June 2, 2026 top-two primary for the open governor’s seat features a fragmented Democratic field that has kept vote shares low for most contenders, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco remain competitive. Recent polling averages place former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary Xavier Becerra narrowly ahead at roughly 19 percent, followed closely by Tom Steyer and Hilton near 17 percent, with Katie Porter, Chad Bianco, and Matt Mahan in single digits. Eric Swalwell’s earlier exit boosted Becerra’s standing, and Donald Trump’s endorsement of Hilton consolidated some Republican support. A final debate this week and the start of widespread mail voting could shift late-deciding voters before the top two advance regardless of party.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$662,873
Enddatum
2. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Steve Hilton" mit 72%, gefolgt von „Xavier Becerra" mit 68%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 72¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $662.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 4, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" ist „Steve Hilton" mit 72%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Xavier Becerra" mit 68%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer wird von der Vorwahl des kalifornischen Gouverneurs aufsteigen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.