Russia's insistence that any bilateral summit with Ukraine occur only after a pre-agreed peace framework has been finalized continues to shape trader expectations for no direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30. The most recent signal came on May 9 when Putin stated openness to talks in a third country solely to conclude such a deal, following earlier Kremlin comments in April that emphasized productive outcomes over preliminary discussions. Ongoing US-mediated trilateral talks have produced no ceasefire or breakthrough sufficient to enable a leadership-level encounter in the remaining weeks, amid Russia's maximalist territorial demands and the absence of scheduled bilateral formats. High implied probability for no meeting reflects these structural barriers and negotiation timelines. A rapid diplomatic advance in current channels or an unexpected ceasefire announcement could still shift the outcome before the cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$268,145 Vol.
$268,145 Vol.
Ja
$268,145 Vol.
$268,145 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's insistence that any bilateral summit with Ukraine occur only after a pre-agreed peace framework has been finalized continues to shape trader expectations for no direct Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30. The most recent signal came on May 9 when Putin stated openness to talks in a third country solely to conclude such a deal, following earlier Kremlin comments in April that emphasized productive outcomes over preliminary discussions. Ongoing US-mediated trilateral talks have produced no ceasefire or breakthrough sufficient to enable a leadership-level encounter in the remaining weeks, amid Russia's maximalist territorial demands and the absence of scheduled bilateral formats. High implied probability for no meeting reflects these structural barriers and negotiation timelines. A rapid diplomatic advance in current channels or an unexpected ceasefire announcement could still shift the outcome before the cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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