Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to impeachment before the November 2026 midterms, despite recent Democratic calls for action tied to foreign policy developments in the Iran conflict and public polls showing majority voter support for proceedings. House resolutions introduced earlier this year remain stalled in committee with no Republican crossover support, consistent with historical patterns where the president’s party rarely advances removal efforts. Traders price the 87 percent probability for no impeachment by year-end on the expectation that even a potential Democratic House majority after the midterms would leave insufficient time for passage and Senate conviction, which requires a two-thirds vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress continue to block any realistic path to impeachment before the November 2026 midterms, despite recent Democratic calls for action tied to foreign policy developments in the Iran conflict and public polls showing majority voter support for proceedings. House resolutions introduced earlier this year remain stalled in committee with no Republican crossover support, consistent with historical patterns where the president’s party rarely advances removal efforts. Traders price the 87 percent probability for no impeachment by year-end on the expectation that even a potential Democratic House majority after the midterms would leave insufficient time for passage and Senate conviction, which requires a two-thirds vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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