Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by July 2026 and expectations of $120 billion by year-end, underpins the 78.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Traders are pricing in an October Nasdaq IPO targeting $2 trillion or more, driven by strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, high gross margins above 80%, and adjusted operating profitability in recent quarters. Recent shifts in the timeline to mid-October marketing, alongside a planned $15 billion credit facility and partnerships with Amazon and Google, reinforce consensus that the listing will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Key catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing, which could validate or adjust these elevated valuations amid broader AI market sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1.8T+ 79%
1.5–1.8T 9.6%
1.2–1.5T 4.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.4%
$442,012 Vol.
$442,012 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
79%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 79%
1.5–1.8T 9.6%
1.2–1.5T 4.9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.4%
$442,012 Vol.
$442,012 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<0.6T
$22,411 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$27,023 Vol.
1%
0.9–1.2T
$27,281 Vol.
1%
1.2–1.5T
$34,922 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.8T
$53,123 Vol.
10%
1.8T+
$223,516 Vol.
79%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$53,737 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by July 2026 and expectations of $120 billion by year-end, underpins the 78.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Traders are pricing in an October Nasdaq IPO targeting $2 trillion or more, driven by strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, high gross margins above 80%, and adjusted operating profitability in recent quarters. Recent shifts in the timeline to mid-October marketing, alongside a planned $15 billion credit facility and partnerships with Amazon and Google, reinforce consensus that the listing will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Key catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing, which could validate or adjust these elevated valuations amid broader AI market sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volumen
$442,012Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by July 2026 and expectations of $120 billion by year-end, underpins the 78.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Traders are pricing in an October Nasdaq IPO targeting $2 trillion or more, driven by strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, high gross margins above 80%, and adjusted operating profitability in recent quarters. Recent shifts in the timeline to mid-October marketing, alongside a planned $15 billion credit facility and partnerships with Amazon and Google, reinforce consensus that the listing will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Key catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing, which could validate or adjust these elevated valuations amid broader AI market sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$442,012Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2028Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s explosive revenue growth, with annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by July 2026 and expectations of $120 billion by year-end, underpins the 78.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Traders are pricing in an October Nasdaq IPO targeting $2 trillion or more, driven by strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, high gross margins above 80%, and adjusted operating profitability in recent quarters. Recent shifts in the timeline to mid-October marketing, alongside a planned $15 billion credit facility and partnerships with Amazon and Google, reinforce consensus that the listing will occur well before the 2027 deadline. Key catalysts include the public S-1 filing and final pricing, which could validate or adjust these elevated valuations amid broader AI market sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿La capitalización de mercado de Anthropic será de 600.000 millones de dólares o más al cierre del mercado en el día de su salida a bolsa antes del 31 de diciembre de 2027?
96%
Sí
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
25%
¿Capitalización bursátil de cierre de la OPI de Anthropic por encima de $1.5T?
91%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes