Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai have lifted market-implied odds of a rate increase to 21.0 percent ahead of the July 16 decision, as growth forecasts hold near 2.0 percent while inflation is projected above the prior 2.2 percent estimate due to elevated global oil prices. With the base rate already at 2.50 percent after seven consecutive holds, traders see limited room for easing given balanced risks to the Korean won and export sector. The dominant 77.5 percent probability of no change reflects the central bank’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on monitoring incoming CPI and GDP figures before any policy shift. A hotter-than-expected May or June inflation print could further support the modest tightening odds, while stable financial conditions continue to anchor expectations for a pause through mid-year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Sin cambios 67%
Aumento 23%
Disminuir 1.3%
$13,163 Vol.
$13,163 Vol.
16 jul 2026
Disminuir
1%
Sin cambios
75%
Aumento
21%
Sin cambios 67%
Aumento 23%
Disminuir 1.3%
$13,163 Vol.
$13,163 Vol.
16 jul 2026
Disminuir
$8,878 Vol.
1%
Sin cambios
$1,639 Vol.
75%
Aumento
$2,647 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai have lifted market-implied odds of a rate increase to 21.0 percent ahead of the July 16 decision, as growth forecasts hold near 2.0 percent while inflation is projected above the prior 2.2 percent estimate due to elevated global oil prices. With the base rate already at 2.50 percent after seven consecutive holds, traders see limited room for easing given balanced risks to the Korean won and export sector. The dominant 77.5 percent probability of no change reflects the central bank’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on monitoring incoming CPI and GDP figures before any policy shift. A hotter-than-expected May or June inflation print could further support the modest tightening odds, while stable financial conditions continue to anchor expectations for a pause through mid-year.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$13,163Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai have lifted market-implied odds of a rate increase to 21.0 percent ahead of the July 16 decision, as growth forecasts hold near 2.0 percent while inflation is projected above the prior 2.2 percent estimate due to elevated global oil prices. With the base rate already at 2.50 percent after seven consecutive holds, traders see limited room for easing given balanced risks to the Korean won and export sector. The dominant 77.5 percent probability of no change reflects the central bank’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on monitoring incoming CPI and GDP figures before any policy shift. A hotter-than-expected May or June inflation print could further support the modest tightening odds, while stable financial conditions continue to anchor expectations for a pause through mid-year.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$13,163Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish comments from Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Ryoo Sangdai have lifted market-implied odds of a rate increase to 21.0 percent ahead of the July 16 decision, as growth forecasts hold near 2.0 percent while inflation is projected above the prior 2.2 percent estimate due to elevated global oil prices. With the base rate already at 2.50 percent after seven consecutive holds, traders see limited room for easing given balanced risks to the Korean won and export sector. The dominant 77.5 percent probability of no change reflects the central bank’s data-dependent stance and emphasis on monitoring incoming CPI and GDP figures before any policy shift. A hotter-than-expected May or June inflation print could further support the modest tightening odds, while stable financial conditions continue to anchor expectations for a pause through mid-year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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