Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market shows the strongest trader consensus around 0.3%-0.5%, reflecting expectations of moderation following the 1.1% Q1 surge that exceeded forecasts. Restrictive monetary policy from the Central Bank, elevated inflation pressures including energy-related shocks, and softening domestic demand—particularly in consumption and fixed investment—have tempered momentum, with annual 2026 growth projections clustered near 1.6%-1.7%. Export support from soybean shipments provides a partial offset, while the September 1 data release and any revisions to prior quarters represent the key near-term catalyst. Market-implied odds align with consensus analyst estimates anticipating a return toward the long-term quarterly average near 0.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.3%–0.5% 53.0%
0.0%–0.2% 23.0%
0,6%–0,8% 17.6%
0,9%–1,1% 1.1%
$45,436 Vol.
$45,436 Vol.
1 sep 2026
<0,0%
1%
0.0%–0.2%
23%
0.3%–0.5%
53%
0,6%–0,8%
18%
0,9%–1,1%
9%
1.2%–1.4%
<1%
≥1,5%
<1%
0.3%–0.5% 53.0%
0.0%–0.2% 23.0%
0,6%–0,8% 17.6%
0,9%–1,1% 1.1%
$45,436 Vol.
$45,436 Vol.
1 sep 2026
<0,0%
$1,094 Vol.
1%
0.0%–0.2%
$3,404 Vol.
23%
0.3%–0.5%
$16,504 Vol.
53%
0,6%–0,8%
$14,748 Vol.
18%
0,9%–1,1%
$6,075 Vol.
9%
1.2%–1.4%
$2,775 Vol.
<1%
≥1,5%
$836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market shows the strongest trader consensus around 0.3%-0.5%, reflecting expectations of moderation following the 1.1% Q1 surge that exceeded forecasts. Restrictive monetary policy from the Central Bank, elevated inflation pressures including energy-related shocks, and softening domestic demand—particularly in consumption and fixed investment—have tempered momentum, with annual 2026 growth projections clustered near 1.6%-1.7%. Export support from soybean shipments provides a partial offset, while the September 1 data release and any revisions to prior quarters represent the key near-term catalyst. Market-implied odds align with consensus analyst estimates anticipating a return toward the long-term quarterly average near 0.5%.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volumen
$45,436Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market shows the strongest trader consensus around 0.3%-0.5%, reflecting expectations of moderation following the 1.1% Q1 surge that exceeded forecasts. Restrictive monetary policy from the Central Bank, elevated inflation pressures including energy-related shocks, and softening domestic demand—particularly in consumption and fixed investment—have tempered momentum, with annual 2026 growth projections clustered near 1.6%-1.7%. Export support from soybean shipments provides a partial offset, while the September 1 data release and any revisions to prior quarters represent the key near-term catalyst. Market-implied odds align with consensus analyst estimates anticipating a return toward the long-term quarterly average near 0.5%.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volumen
$45,436Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market shows the strongest trader consensus around 0.3%-0.5%, reflecting expectations of moderation following the 1.1% Q1 surge that exceeded forecasts. Restrictive monetary policy from the Central Bank, elevated inflation pressures including energy-related shocks, and softening domestic demand—particularly in consumption and fixed investment—have tempered momentum, with annual 2026 growth projections clustered near 1.6%-1.7%. Export support from soybean shipments provides a partial offset, while the September 1 data release and any revisions to prior quarters represent the key near-term catalyst. Market-implied odds align with consensus analyst estimates anticipating a return toward the long-term quarterly average near 0.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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