Discord's January 2026 confidential SEC filing initially fueled expectations for a potential March listing, yet the absence of a subsequent public S-1 has driven the 79% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026. Secondary-market trading now values the company at roughly $6–8 billion, well below its 2021 peak of $15 billion, while analyst estimates center on 7–12x revenue multiples applied to $600–725 million in annual sales. This pricing reflects monetization challenges in a selective IPO environment, where traders prioritize clear paths to profitability over user-growth narratives. Upcoming catalysts include any shift to a public filing or revised timeline, which could realign implied closing market-cap probabilities around the 15–20 billion or sub-15 billion buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 79%
<15 mil millones 5.3%
15–20 mil millones 4.0%
25–30B 3.8%
$893,958 Vol.
$893,958 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
5%
15–20 mil millones
4%
20–25B
1%
25–30B
4%
30.000M+
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
79%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 79%
<15 mil millones 5.3%
15–20 mil millones 4.0%
25–30B 3.8%
$893,958 Vol.
$893,958 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<15 mil millones
$298,539 Vol.
5%
15–20 mil millones
$109,468 Vol.
4%
20–25B
$74,744 Vol.
1%
25–30B
$114,056 Vol.
4%
30.000M+
$102,720 Vol.
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$194,431 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord's January 2026 confidential SEC filing initially fueled expectations for a potential March listing, yet the absence of a subsequent public S-1 has driven the 79% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026. Secondary-market trading now values the company at roughly $6–8 billion, well below its 2021 peak of $15 billion, while analyst estimates center on 7–12x revenue multiples applied to $600–725 million in annual sales. This pricing reflects monetization challenges in a selective IPO environment, where traders prioritize clear paths to profitability over user-growth narratives. Upcoming catalysts include any shift to a public filing or revised timeline, which could realign implied closing market-cap probabilities around the 15–20 billion or sub-15 billion buckets.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$893,958Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord's January 2026 confidential SEC filing initially fueled expectations for a potential March listing, yet the absence of a subsequent public S-1 has driven the 79% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026. Secondary-market trading now values the company at roughly $6–8 billion, well below its 2021 peak of $15 billion, while analyst estimates center on 7–12x revenue multiples applied to $600–725 million in annual sales. This pricing reflects monetization challenges in a selective IPO environment, where traders prioritize clear paths to profitability over user-growth narratives. Upcoming catalysts include any shift to a public filing or revised timeline, which could realign implied closing market-cap probabilities around the 15–20 billion or sub-15 billion buckets.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$893,958Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Discord's January 2026 confidential SEC filing initially fueled expectations for a potential March listing, yet the absence of a subsequent public S-1 has driven the 79% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026. Secondary-market trading now values the company at roughly $6–8 billion, well below its 2021 peak of $15 billion, while analyst estimates center on 7–12x revenue multiples applied to $600–725 million in annual sales. This pricing reflects monetization challenges in a selective IPO environment, where traders prioritize clear paths to profitability over user-growth narratives. Upcoming catalysts include any shift to a public filing or revised timeline, which could realign implied closing market-cap probabilities around the 15–20 billion or sub-15 billion buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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