Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.2% in May 2026, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 annual forecast upward to 2.6%. This backdrop supports the market-implied consensus clustering around the 2.8-3.0% range at 47.7% probability, narrowly ahead of the sub-1.0% bucket and the 3.1%+ outcome. Traders weigh the persistence of energy and services pressures against potential base effects, ECB rate adjustments, and any easing in commodity futures. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether the shock will embed in core measures or dissipate by year-end, with upcoming June data releases and ECB communications likely to influence positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de la zona euro 2026
Inflación anual de la zona euro 2026
<1,0% 40.3%
3.1%+ 36.4%
2,8-3,0% 11.8%
2,5–2,7% 7.6%
$13,963 Vol.
$13,963 Vol.
19 ene 2027
<1,0%
40%
1,0–1,2%
1%
1,3–1,5%
3%
1,6–1,8%
1%
1,9–2,1%
2%
2,2–2,4%
1%
2,5–2,7%
8%
2,8-3,0%
12%
3.1%+
36%
<1,0% 40.3%
3.1%+ 36.4%
2,8-3,0% 11.8%
2,5–2,7% 7.6%
$13,963 Vol.
$13,963 Vol.
19 ene 2027
<1,0%
$1,177 Vol.
40%
1,0–1,2%
$808 Vol.
1%
1,3–1,5%
$2,231 Vol.
3%
1,6–1,8%
$1,380 Vol.
1%
1,9–2,1%
$2,899 Vol.
2%
2,2–2,4%
$1,081 Vol.
1%
2,5–2,7%
$1,219 Vol.
8%
2,8-3,0%
$748 Vol.
12%
3.1%+
$2,420 Vol.
36%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.2% in May 2026, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 annual forecast upward to 2.6%. This backdrop supports the market-implied consensus clustering around the 2.8-3.0% range at 47.7% probability, narrowly ahead of the sub-1.0% bucket and the 3.1%+ outcome. Traders weigh the persistence of energy and services pressures against potential base effects, ECB rate adjustments, and any easing in commodity futures. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether the shock will embed in core measures or dissipate by year-end, with upcoming June data releases and ECB communications likely to influence positioning.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$13,963Fecha de finalización
19 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.2% in May 2026, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 annual forecast upward to 2.6%. This backdrop supports the market-implied consensus clustering around the 2.8-3.0% range at 47.7% probability, narrowly ahead of the sub-1.0% bucket and the 3.1%+ outcome. Traders weigh the persistence of energy and services pressures against potential base effects, ECB rate adjustments, and any easing in commodity futures. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether the shock will embed in core measures or dissipate by year-end, with upcoming June data releases and ECB communications likely to influence positioning.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volumen
$13,963Fecha de finalización
19 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East supply disruptions have lifted Eurozone HICP inflation to 3.2% in May 2026, prompting the ECB to revise its 2026 annual forecast upward to 2.6%. This backdrop supports the market-implied consensus clustering around the 2.8-3.0% range at 47.7% probability, narrowly ahead of the sub-1.0% bucket and the 3.1%+ outcome. Traders weigh the persistence of energy and services pressures against potential base effects, ECB rate adjustments, and any easing in commodity futures. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether the shock will embed in core measures or dissipate by year-end, with upcoming June data releases and ECB communications likely to influence positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes