Latest numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on August 26 under high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Ankara’s late-August climatology features declining highs averaging 31–32°C, with recent days showing variability—such as the 35°C reading on August 22—before a modest cooling trend stabilized conditions. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhance surface warming, while light northeasterly flow limits advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C reflect trader consensus aligning with ensemble forecasts showing limited upside potential beyond 34°C and low risk of falling to 31°C or below, given persistent anticyclonic setup through the 24-hour period ending at local midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 26 de agosto?
33°C 56%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
56%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service point to a peak temperature near 33°C in Ankara on August 26 under high-pressure dominance, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating. Ankara’s late-August climatology features declining highs averaging 31–32°C, with recent days showing variability—such as the 35°C reading on August 22—before a modest cooling trend stabilized conditions. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhance surface warming, while light northeasterly flow limits advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds clustering on 32–33°C reflect trader consensus aligning with ensemble forecasts showing limited upside potential beyond 34°C and low risk of falling to 31°C or below, given persistent anticyclonic setup through the 24-hour period ending at local midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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