Stable high-pressure dominance over the eastern Mediterranean, paired with clear skies and light northerly flow, drives ensemble forecasts for Istanbul’s August 13 maximum clustered tightly around 27–28 °C. Radiative heating under anticyclonic conditions supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average, while northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea provides modest moderation that keeps outcomes from exceeding 29 °C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer wind speed, thin high cloud, or exact timing of any weak trough passage create the narrow spread separating 27 °C from 28 °C. Traders’ near-even split between these two outcomes therefore reflects the current short-range guidance envelope rather than any single deterministic run.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 13 de agosto?
27°C 51%
28°C 42%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
NUEVO
$11,986 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,986 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
51%
28°C
42%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 42%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
NUEVO
$11,986 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,986 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$435 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$715 Vol.
1%
26°C
$968 Vol.
4%
27°C
$3,298 Vol.
51%
28°C
$2,147 Vol.
42%
29°C
$745 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,012 Vol.
1%
31°C
$620 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure dominance over the eastern Mediterranean, paired with clear skies and light northerly flow, drives ensemble forecasts for Istanbul’s August 13 maximum clustered tightly around 27–28 °C. Radiative heating under anticyclonic conditions supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average, while northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea provides modest moderation that keeps outcomes from exceeding 29 °C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer wind speed, thin high cloud, or exact timing of any weak trough passage create the narrow spread separating 27 °C from 28 °C. Traders’ near-even split between these two outcomes therefore reflects the current short-range guidance envelope rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$11,986Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure dominance over the eastern Mediterranean, paired with clear skies and light northerly flow, drives ensemble forecasts for Istanbul’s August 13 maximum clustered tightly around 27–28 °C. Radiative heating under anticyclonic conditions supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average, while northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea provides modest moderation that keeps outcomes from exceeding 29 °C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer wind speed, thin high cloud, or exact timing of any weak trough passage create the narrow spread separating 27 °C from 28 °C. Traders’ near-even split between these two outcomes therefore reflects the current short-range guidance envelope rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,986Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure dominance over the eastern Mediterranean, paired with clear skies and light northerly flow, drives ensemble forecasts for Istanbul’s August 13 maximum clustered tightly around 27–28 °C. Radiative heating under anticyclonic conditions supports afternoon peaks near the seasonal average, while northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Black Sea provides modest moderation that keeps outcomes from exceeding 29 °C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer wind speed, thin high cloud, or exact timing of any weak trough passage create the narrow spread separating 27 °C from 28 °C. Traders’ near-even split between these two outcomes therefore reflects the current short-range guidance envelope rather than any single deterministic run.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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