Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 18 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 18 de mayo?
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.2%
NUEVO
$49,899 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,899 Vol.
18 may 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
26%
15°C
47%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.2%
NUEVO
$49,899 Vol.
NUEVO
$49,899 Vol.
18 may 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,698 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$4,533 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5,669 Vol.
5%
14°C
$4,656 Vol.
26%
15°C
$4,646 Vol.
47%
16°C
$5,994 Vol.
22%
17°C
$5,051 Vol.
5%
18°C or higher
$7,628 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$49,899Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$49,899Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes