Recent model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF points to peak boundary-layer heating supporting a LaGuardia high near 87 °F, yet the tight clustering of market odds around 86–89 °F stems from uncertainty over afternoon convective cloud development and variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or cap surface temperatures. Springtime insolation and a weak warm-air advection pattern set the stage, while any increase in cumulus or scattered showers would reduce insolation and keep readings closer to the 84–85 °F range; conversely, clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings into the low 90s. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will clarify these thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 17 de mayo?
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 7.3%
NUEVO
$20,256 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,256 Vol.
17 may 2026
79°F o menos
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o más
<1%
86-87°F 35%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 7.3%
NUEVO
$20,256 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,256 Vol.
17 may 2026
79°F o menos
$6,307 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$5,144 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$2,144 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$1,875 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$1,217 Vol.
35%
88-89°F
$665 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$725 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$549 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$636 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$597 Vol.
<1%
98°F o más
$520 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF points to peak boundary-layer heating supporting a LaGuardia high near 87 °F, yet the tight clustering of market odds around 86–89 °F stems from uncertainty over afternoon convective cloud development and variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or cap surface temperatures. Springtime insolation and a weak warm-air advection pattern set the stage, while any increase in cumulus or scattered showers would reduce insolation and keep readings closer to the 84–85 °F range; conversely, clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings into the low 90s. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will clarify these thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$20,256Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF points to peak boundary-layer heating supporting a LaGuardia high near 87 °F, yet the tight clustering of market odds around 86–89 °F stems from uncertainty over afternoon convective cloud development and variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or cap surface temperatures. Springtime insolation and a weak warm-air advection pattern set the stage, while any increase in cumulus or scattered showers would reduce insolation and keep readings closer to the 84–85 °F range; conversely, clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings into the low 90s. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will clarify these thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,256Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF points to peak boundary-layer heating supporting a LaGuardia high near 87 °F, yet the tight clustering of market odds around 86–89 °F stems from uncertainty over afternoon convective cloud development and variable low-level wind speeds that could either enhance mixing or cap surface temperatures. Springtime insolation and a weak warm-air advection pattern set the stage, while any increase in cumulus or scattered showers would reduce insolation and keep readings closer to the 84–85 °F range; conversely, clearer skies and lighter winds could push readings into the low 90s. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will clarify these thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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