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icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?

¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?

icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?

¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?

may 15

may 16

may 17

may 18

may 15

may 16

may 17

may 18

29°C o más 41%

25°C 20%

26°C 20%

27°C 20%

Polymarket
NUEVO

29°C o más 41%

25°C 20%

26°C 20%

27°C 20%

Polymarket
NUEVO

19°C o menos

$0 Vol.

1%

20°C

$0 Vol.

11%

21°C

$0 Vol.

12%

22°C

$0 Vol.

14%

23°C

$0 Vol.

16%

24°C

$0 Vol.

19%

25°C

$0 Vol.

20%

26°C

$0 Vol.

20%

27°C

$0 Vol.

20%

28°C

$0 Vol.

18%

29°C o más

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
21 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Hong Kong point to elevated overnight minimum temperatures on May 21, with ensemble guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory favoring values near or above 29°C due to southerly warm-air advection and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects a departure from late-May climatological averages of 24–25°C, as recent model runs show limited influence from cooler northerly flows or significant precipitation that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Traders are watching for updates in the next 48 hours from regional numerical weather prediction systems, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or humidity levels change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
21 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "29°C o más" con 41%, seguido de "25°C" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?" es "29°C o más" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "25°C" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.