Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station under a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. These conditions place the market’s leading outcomes—29 °C at 37 % and 30 °C or higher at 30 %—in close contention, with model spread arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind trajectory across the Kanto Plain. Mid-May climatology typically yields highs of 22–24 °C, so the current setup already represents a notable warm anomaly. Traders will watch the final JMA guidance and evening model runs, which can still shift the expected peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 17 de mayo?
29°C 37%
30°C or higher 30%
28°C 28%
27°C 10%
NUEVO
$22,420 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,420 Vol.
17 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C or higher
30%
29°C 37%
30°C or higher 30%
28°C 28%
27°C 10%
NUEVO
$22,420 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,420 Vol.
17 may 2026
20°C or below
$2,294 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,253 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,588 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,964 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,848 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,822 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,664 Vol.
28%
29°C
$1,325 Vol.
37%
30°C or higher
$2,176 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station under a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. These conditions place the market’s leading outcomes—29 °C at 37 % and 30 °C or higher at 30 %—in close contention, with model spread arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind trajectory across the Kanto Plain. Mid-May climatology typically yields highs of 22–24 °C, so the current setup already represents a notable warm anomaly. Traders will watch the final JMA guidance and evening model runs, which can still shift the expected peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$22,420Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station under a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. These conditions place the market’s leading outcomes—29 °C at 37 % and 30 °C or higher at 30 %—in close contention, with model spread arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind trajectory across the Kanto Plain. Mid-May climatology typically yields highs of 22–24 °C, so the current setup already represents a notable warm anomaly. Traders will watch the final JMA guidance and evening model runs, which can still shift the expected peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,420Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the official Otemachi station under a high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon insolation. These conditions place the market’s leading outcomes—29 °C at 37 % and 30 °C or higher at 30 %—in close contention, with model spread arising mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact wind trajectory across the Kanto Plain. Mid-May climatology typically yields highs of 22–24 °C, so the current setup already represents a notable warm anomaly. Traders will watch the final JMA guidance and evening model runs, which can still shift the expected peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes