Persistent marine layer conditions and steady onshore flow from the cooler eastern Pacific have capped daytime heating at Los Angeles International Airport, positioning the 70–71 °F outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 56.5 percent. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a modest temperature recovery today, with afternoon highs most likely settling in the upper 60s to low 70s under continued stratus influence. Historical May climatology at the station shows average highs near 74 °F, yet recent pattern persistence has suppressed readings below that baseline. Limited model spread across morning updates reinforces trader consensus around these central outcomes, with only a slim 5.3 percent chance assigned to 72 °F or higher if the marine layer erodes faster than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 16?
68-69°F 61%
70-71°F 33.2%
72°F or higher 4.0%
60-61°F <1%
$41,705 Vol.
$41,705 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
61%
70-71°F
33%
72°F or higher
4%
68-69°F 61%
70-71°F 33.2%
72°F or higher 4.0%
60-61°F <1%
$41,705 Vol.
$41,705 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
61%
70-71°F
33%
72°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Persistent marine layer conditions and steady onshore flow from the cooler eastern Pacific have capped daytime heating at Los Angeles International Airport, positioning the 70–71 °F outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 56.5 percent. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a modest temperature recovery today, with afternoon highs most likely settling in the upper 60s to low 70s under continued stratus influence. Historical May climatology at the station shows average highs near 74 °F, yet recent pattern persistence has suppressed readings below that baseline. Limited model spread across morning updates reinforces trader consensus around these central outcomes, with only a slim 5.3 percent chance assigned to 72 °F or higher if the marine layer erodes faster than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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