Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, is limiting afternoon heating in Madrid and driving the market's heavy weighting toward a 21–23 °C peak on May 17. These stable synoptic conditions suppress cloud development and vertical mixing, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow band consistent with May climatology under similar ridge setups. Official observations from AEMET stations will determine resolution, and traders appear to discount warmer scenarios given model agreement on ridge persistence through the weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 17 de mayo?
22°C 39%
21°C 23%
23°C 21%
24°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 23%
23°C 21%
24°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
17°C or below
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$753 Vol.
1%
20°C
$533 Vol.
5%
21°C
$1,277 Vol.
23%
22°C
$892 Vol.
39%
23°C
$563 Vol.
21%
24°C
$386 Vol.
9%
25°C
$415 Vol.
1%
26°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, is limiting afternoon heating in Madrid and driving the market's heavy weighting toward a 21–23 °C peak on May 17. These stable synoptic conditions suppress cloud development and vertical mixing, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow band consistent with May climatology under similar ridge setups. Official observations from AEMET stations will determine resolution, and traders appear to discount warmer scenarios given model agreement on ridge persistence through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$6,748Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, is limiting afternoon heating in Madrid and driving the market's heavy weighting toward a 21–23 °C peak on May 17. These stable synoptic conditions suppress cloud development and vertical mixing, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow band consistent with May climatology under similar ridge setups. Official observations from AEMET stations will determine resolution, and traders appear to discount warmer scenarios given model agreement on ridge persistence through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,748Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDPersistent high-pressure ridging over the Iberian Peninsula, confirmed in the latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, is limiting afternoon heating in Madrid and driving the market's heavy weighting toward a 21–23 °C peak on May 17. These stable synoptic conditions suppress cloud development and vertical mixing, keeping maximum temperatures within a narrow band consistent with May climatology under similar ridge setups. Official observations from AEMET stations will determine resolution, and traders appear to discount warmer scenarios given model agreement on ridge persistence through the weekend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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