Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92°F or higher at 47.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on May 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90-91°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light south winds. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from May 14 highlight dry conditions and above-normal temperatures aligning with NOAA's spring outlook, while GFS and ECMWF models show ensemble means in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs pushing toward 93°F due to ample solar heating. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clouds or timing of peak heating, with new model updates expected overnight; historical May averages hover around 86°F, contextualizing the clustered odds in 86-91°F buckets at 21% each.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 17 de mayo?
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 24%
92°F o más 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
73°F o menos
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
24%
92°F o más
9%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 24%
92°F o más 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 may 2026
73°F o menos
$515 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,575 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$695 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$494 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$185 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$129 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$167 Vol.
28%
88-89°F
$282 Vol.
31%
90-91°F
$281 Vol.
24%
92°F o más
$927 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92°F or higher at 47.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on May 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90-91°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light south winds. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from May 14 highlight dry conditions and above-normal temperatures aligning with NOAA's spring outlook, while GFS and ECMWF models show ensemble means in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs pushing toward 93°F due to ample solar heating. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clouds or timing of peak heating, with new model updates expected overnight; historical May averages hover around 86°F, contextualizing the clustered odds in 86-91°F buckets at 21% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$7,681Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 92°F or higher at 47.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on May 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90-91°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light south winds. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from May 14 highlight dry conditions and above-normal temperatures aligning with NOAA's spring outlook, while GFS and ECMWF models show ensemble means in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs pushing toward 93°F due to ample solar heating. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clouds or timing of peak heating, with new model updates expected overnight; historical May averages hover around 86°F, contextualizing the clustered odds in 86-91°F buckets at 21% each.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,681Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 92°F or higher at 47.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on May 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs near 90-91°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies with light south winds. Recent Area Forecast Discussions from May 14 highlight dry conditions and above-normal temperatures aligning with NOAA's spring outlook, while GFS and ECMWF models show ensemble means in the upper 80s to low 90s, with some runs pushing toward 93°F due to ample solar heating. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon clouds or timing of peak heating, with new model updates expected overnight; historical May averages hover around 86°F, contextualizing the clustered odds in 86-91°F buckets at 21% each.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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