Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 6 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds. Madrid’s semi-arid continental climate typically sees August maxima around 32–33°C; the elevated outlook stems from stable high pressure and clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance surface heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with only slight potential for an extra degree if daytime mixing is stronger than expected. These projections underpin the market’s concentration on 37°C and 38°C outcomes, while probabilities above 39°C remain low given the absence of strong heat advection or anomalous warming patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 6 de agosto?
37°C 56%
38°C 40%
39°C 4%
36°C 3%
NUEVO
$21,502 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,502 Vol.
6 ago 2026
33°C o menos
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
56%
38°C
40%
39°C
4%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C o más
<1%
37°C 56%
38°C 40%
39°C 4%
36°C 3%
NUEVO
$21,502 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,502 Vol.
6 ago 2026
33°C o menos
$661 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,047 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,777 Vol.
3%
37°C
$3,718 Vol.
56%
38°C
$3,522 Vol.
40%
39°C
$2,165 Vol.
4%
40°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
43°C o más
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 6 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds. Madrid’s semi-arid continental climate typically sees August maxima around 32–33°C; the elevated outlook stems from stable high pressure and clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance surface heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with only slight potential for an extra degree if daytime mixing is stronger than expected. These projections underpin the market’s concentration on 37°C and 38°C outcomes, while probabilities above 39°C remain low given the absence of strong heat advection or anomalous warming patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$21,502Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 6 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds. Madrid’s semi-arid continental climate typically sees August maxima around 32–33°C; the elevated outlook stems from stable high pressure and clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance surface heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with only slight potential for an extra degree if daytime mixing is stronger than expected. These projections underpin the market’s concentration on 37°C and 38°C outcomes, while probabilities above 39°C remain low given the absence of strong heat advection or anomalous warming patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,502Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 6 under sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds. Madrid’s semi-arid continental climate typically sees August maxima around 32–33°C; the elevated outlook stems from stable high pressure and clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance surface heating. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty, with only slight potential for an extra degree if daytime mixing is stronger than expected. These projections underpin the market’s concentration on 37°C and 38°C outcomes, while probabilities above 39°C remain low given the absence of strong heat advection or anomalous warming patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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