Recent forecasts from models including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance point to a peak temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the seasonal climatological peak near 25°C. Trader consensus around 23–24°C versus lower odds for 25°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited afternoon clearing, while the narrow spread versus 22°C outcomes highlights sensitivity to exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at standard reporting stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 8 de septiembre?
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C o más 25%
22°C 10%
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
29%
24°C
37%
25°C o más
25%
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C o más 25%
22°C 10%
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
29%
24°C
37%
25°C o más
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance point to a peak temperature near 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered afternoon showers typical of the early rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima below the seasonal climatological peak near 25°C. Trader consensus around 23–24°C versus lower odds for 25°C or higher reflects model agreement on limited afternoon clearing, while the narrow spread versus 22°C outcomes highlights sensitivity to exact thunderstorm timing and any late-day wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the daily maximum at standard reporting stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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