The dominant market consensus at 100% for a 68-69°F high on August 16 reflects the official daily maximum recorded by National Weather Service stations in San Francisco. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer coastal patterns driven by the marine layer, onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that moderate temperatures along the immediate shoreline. Recent observational data showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky warming to push readings higher, consistent with climatological averages for the date. While NWS measurements carry high reliability for market resolution, rare post-analysis revisions or differences across microclimate stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 16 de agosto?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F o menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$28,987 Vol.
$28,987 Vol.
16 ago 2026
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F o menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$28,987 Vol.
$28,987 Vol.
16 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,201 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$7,541 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$4,114 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,034 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,252 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,153 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,098 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$382 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$293 Vol.
<1%
84°F o más
$484 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus at 100% for a 68-69°F high on August 16 reflects the official daily maximum recorded by National Weather Service stations in San Francisco. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer coastal patterns driven by the marine layer, onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that moderate temperatures along the immediate shoreline. Recent observational data showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky warming to push readings higher, consistent with climatological averages for the date. While NWS measurements carry high reliability for market resolution, rare post-analysis revisions or differences across microclimate stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volumen
$28,987Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus at 100% for a 68-69°F high on August 16 reflects the official daily maximum recorded by National Weather Service stations in San Francisco. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer coastal patterns driven by the marine layer, onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that moderate temperatures along the immediate shoreline. Recent observational data showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky warming to push readings higher, consistent with climatological averages for the date. While NWS measurements carry high reliability for market resolution, rare post-analysis revisions or differences across microclimate stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,987Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant market consensus at 100% for a 68-69°F high on August 16 reflects the official daily maximum recorded by National Weather Service stations in San Francisco. This outcome aligns with typical late-summer coastal patterns driven by the marine layer, onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that moderate temperatures along the immediate shoreline. Recent observational data showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky warming to push readings higher, consistent with climatological averages for the date. While NWS measurements carry high reliability for market resolution, rare post-analysis revisions or differences across microclimate stations could theoretically alter the final figure, though such adjustments remain uncommon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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