Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a peak of 36°C in Shenzhen on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions, with elevated humidity and light winds suppressing convective cooling and allowing surface heating to reach that threshold. This consensus from official guidance underpins the market's near-certain 100% positioning on 36°C, consistent with typical August climatology where highs often approach or exceed 34–36°C amid persistent warmth. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment reflects limited model divergence in current runs. Earlier cloud cover, steering pattern shifts introducing precipitation, or final station data revisions could still produce a lower recorded maximum, though guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 12 de agosto?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$143,741 Vol.
$143,741 Vol.
12 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$143,741 Vol.
$143,741 Vol.
12 ago 2026
28°C or below
$564 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,405 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,525 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,993 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,639 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$39,869 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$47,798 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$19,725 Vol.
100%
37°C
$11,002 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$8,659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a peak of 36°C in Shenzhen on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions, with elevated humidity and light winds suppressing convective cooling and allowing surface heating to reach that threshold. This consensus from official guidance underpins the market's near-certain 100% positioning on 36°C, consistent with typical August climatology where highs often approach or exceed 34–36°C amid persistent warmth. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment reflects limited model divergence in current runs. Earlier cloud cover, steering pattern shifts introducing precipitation, or final station data revisions could still produce a lower recorded maximum, though guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$143,741Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a peak of 36°C in Shenzhen on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions, with elevated humidity and light winds suppressing convective cooling and allowing surface heating to reach that threshold. This consensus from official guidance underpins the market's near-certain 100% positioning on 36°C, consistent with typical August climatology where highs often approach or exceed 34–36°C amid persistent warmth. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment reflects limited model divergence in current runs. Earlier cloud cover, steering pattern shifts introducing precipitation, or final station data revisions could still produce a lower recorded maximum, though guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143,741Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a peak of 36°C in Shenzhen on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions, with elevated humidity and light winds suppressing convective cooling and allowing surface heating to reach that threshold. This consensus from official guidance underpins the market's near-certain 100% positioning on 36°C, consistent with typical August climatology where highs often approach or exceed 34–36°C amid persistent warmth. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment reflects limited model divergence in current runs. Earlier cloud cover, steering pattern shifts introducing precipitation, or final station data revisions could still produce a lower recorded maximum, though guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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