Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-10 House Election Winner
IL-10 House Election Winner
$27,438 Vol.
$27,438 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$27,438 Vol.
$27,438 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$19,073 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,365 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$27,438Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,438Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican Carl Lambrecht in the November general election for Illinois's 10th congressional district. The northern Chicago suburbs and exurbs that comprise the seat have shown consistent Democratic preference in recent cycles, reflected in Schneider's 60 percent margin in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability due to the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's fundraising and name recognition, and limited Republican infrastructure. A significant national shift against Democrats, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout in suburban precincts represent the primary variables that could narrow or reverse the current consensus before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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