SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a June debut, reflected in the 92.5% market-implied probability for that month. A Reuters report from May 15 detailed the company's plan to publicly file its prospectus as early as mid-week, launch a roadshow on June 4, price shares around June 11, and list on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX by June 12, following a confidential S-1 filing in April and an expedited SEC review. This shift from an earlier late-June target stems from stronger-than-anticipated regulatory momentum and sustained investor demand for the aerospace and satellite giant's valuation, potentially exceeding $1.75 trillion. While the tight schedule leaves room for minor slippage from last-minute regulatory comments or broader market volatility, the current positioning underscores robust momentum heading into the final pre-IPO phase.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 93%
Julio 6.0%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 <1%
Agosto <1%
$363,038 Vol.
$363,038 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
93%
Julio
6%
Agosto
1%
Septiembre
1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
1%
Junio 93%
Julio 6.0%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 <1%
Agosto <1%
$363,038 Vol.
$363,038 Vol.
Mayo
<1%
Junio
93%
Julio
6%
Agosto
1%
Septiembre
1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a June debut, reflected in the 92.5% market-implied probability for that month. A Reuters report from May 15 detailed the company's plan to publicly file its prospectus as early as mid-week, launch a roadshow on June 4, price shares around June 11, and list on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX by June 12, following a confidential S-1 filing in April and an expedited SEC review. This shift from an earlier late-June target stems from stronger-than-anticipated regulatory momentum and sustained investor demand for the aerospace and satellite giant's valuation, potentially exceeding $1.75 trillion. While the tight schedule leaves room for minor slippage from last-minute regulatory comments or broader market volatility, the current positioning underscores robust momentum heading into the final pre-IPO phase.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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