Recent U.S. manufacturing data show mixed signals around the 50 threshold, with prior ISM readings, new orders, and employment components reflecting cautious expansion amid elevated interest rates and moderating but still above-target inflation. Traders price July 2026 PMI outcomes evenly across sub-49 to mid-50s buckets because incoming indicators such as industrial production, supplier deliveries, and export demand have not established a clear directional trend. Key swing factors include the latest labor-market statistics, any shifts in monetary-policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting, and potential tariff or trade-policy developments that could affect input costs and order backlogs. The wide probability distribution underscores how closely balanced current economic forces remain, with resolution likely hinging on whether July survey responses tilt toward contraction or modest growth.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado49.0–49.9 99%
50.0–50.9 50%
53.0–53.9 50%
54.0–54.9 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
<49.0
48%
49.0–49.9
99%
50.0–50.9
50%
51.0–51.9
47%
52.0–52.9
50%
53.0–53.9
50%
54.0–54.9
50%
55.0–55.9
50%
56.0–56.9
50%
57.0+
50%
49.0–49.9 99%
50.0–50.9 50%
53.0–53.9 50%
54.0–54.9 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
<49.0
$0 Vol.
48%
49.0–49.9
$0 Vol.
99%
50.0–50.9
$0 Vol.
50%
51.0–51.9
$0 Vol.
47%
52.0–52.9
$0 Vol.
50%
53.0–53.9
$0 Vol.
50%
54.0–54.9
$0 Vol.
50%
55.0–55.9
$0 Vol.
50%
56.0–56.9
$0 Vol.
50%
57.0+
$0 Vol.
50%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. manufacturing data show mixed signals around the 50 threshold, with prior ISM readings, new orders, and employment components reflecting cautious expansion amid elevated interest rates and moderating but still above-target inflation. Traders price July 2026 PMI outcomes evenly across sub-49 to mid-50s buckets because incoming indicators such as industrial production, supplier deliveries, and export demand have not established a clear directional trend. Key swing factors include the latest labor-market statistics, any shifts in monetary-policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting, and potential tariff or trade-policy developments that could affect input costs and order backlogs. The wide probability distribution underscores how closely balanced current economic forces remain, with resolution likely hinging on whether July survey responses tilt toward contraction or modest growth.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. manufacturing data show mixed signals around the 50 threshold, with prior ISM readings, new orders, and employment components reflecting cautious expansion amid elevated interest rates and moderating but still above-target inflation. Traders price July 2026 PMI outcomes evenly across sub-49 to mid-50s buckets because incoming indicators such as industrial production, supplier deliveries, and export demand have not established a clear directional trend. Key swing factors include the latest labor-market statistics, any shifts in monetary-policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting, and potential tariff or trade-policy developments that could affect input costs and order backlogs. The wide probability distribution underscores how closely balanced current economic forces remain, with resolution likely hinging on whether July survey responses tilt toward contraction or modest growth.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. manufacturing data show mixed signals around the 50 threshold, with prior ISM readings, new orders, and employment components reflecting cautious expansion amid elevated interest rates and moderating but still above-target inflation. Traders price July 2026 PMI outcomes evenly across sub-49 to mid-50s buckets because incoming indicators such as industrial production, supplier deliveries, and export demand have not established a clear directional trend. Key swing factors include the latest labor-market statistics, any shifts in monetary-policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting, and potential tariff or trade-policy developments that could affect input costs and order backlogs. The wide probability distribution underscores how closely balanced current economic forces remain, with resolution likely hinging on whether July survey responses tilt toward contraction or modest growth.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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