Skip to main content
icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?
Política·Trump

James Comey in jail by June 30?

icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?
Política·Trump

James Comey in jail by June 30?

4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Former FBI Director James Comey faces two ongoing federal indictments—one from September 2025 in the Eastern District of Virginia for alleged false statements and obstruction of Congress, and a second from April 28, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina for purported threats against President Trump via an Instagram seashell photo interpreted as "86 47"—yet traders price a 93% chance he avoids jail by June 30 due to his release on own recognizance after self-surrender and no pre-trial detention ordered. Recent judicial scheduling of a June 30 arraignment and July 15 trial in the NC case, alongside doubts from judges on prosecutorial justifications, DOJ prosecutor departures, and expert views of weak evidence, reinforce skepticism of swift incarceration. Absent conviction or new developments like flight risk findings, procedural timelines make pre-July jail time improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,382
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Former FBI Director James Comey faces two ongoing federal indictments—one from September 2025 in the Eastern District of Virginia for alleged false statements and obstruction of Congress, and a second from April 28, 2026, in the Eastern District of North Carolina for purported threats against President Trump via an Instagram seashell photo interpreted as "86 47"—yet traders price a 93% chance he avoids jail by June 30 due to his release on own recognizance after self-surrender and no pre-trial detention ordered. Recent judicial scheduling of a June 30 arraignment and July 15 trial in the NC case, alongside doubts from judges on prosecutorial justifications, DOJ prosecutor departures, and expert views of weak evidence, reinforce skepticism of swift incarceration. Absent conviction or new developments like flight risk findings, procedural timelines make pre-July jail time improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,382
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"James Comey in jail by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 4% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 4¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"James Comey in jail by June 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "James Comey in jail by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "James Comey in jail by June 30?" es 4% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "James Comey in jail by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.