The open seat created by Rep. Andy Barr’s decision to run for Senate has drawn a crowded May 19 primary in both parties within Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, a seat that has remained in Republican hands since 2012 and where Donald Trump carried the district by double digits in the last presidential election. Trader consensus at 71.5% for a Republican nominee reflects the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins, while the 23.5% Democratic share accounts for a strong field of challengers and the general-election dynamics of an open race. Recent endorsements, including from the president for one Republican contender, and early polling in the Democratic primary have shaped positioning ahead of next week’s nominating contests that will set the November matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKY-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$22,663 Vol.
$22,663 Vol.
Partido Republicano
70%
Partido Demócrata
24%
$22,663 Vol.
$22,663 Vol.
Partido Republicano
70%
Partido Demócrata
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Rep. Andy Barr’s decision to run for Senate has drawn a crowded May 19 primary in both parties within Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, a seat that has remained in Republican hands since 2012 and where Donald Trump carried the district by double digits in the last presidential election. Trader consensus at 71.5% for a Republican nominee reflects the district’s partisan voting index and historical margins, while the 23.5% Democratic share accounts for a strong field of challengers and the general-election dynamics of an open race. Recent endorsements, including from the president for one Republican contender, and early polling in the Democratic primary have shaped positioning ahead of next week’s nominating contests that will set the November matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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