Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 17 driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures elevated. Forecasts indicate the low will likely settle between 12–14 °C, consistent with the market-implied emphasis on 13 °C (40 %) and 12 °C (21.5 %), while historical September climatology shows an average minimum near 11 °C. Light rain and high humidity further suppress sharp drops, and with resolution hinging on official overnight readings, traders are closely monitoring the final model runs and real-time observations from Schiphol.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 17 de septiembre?
12°C 45%
11°C 12%
10°C 9%
8°C o menos 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
9%
11°C
12%
12°C
45%
13°C
47%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o más
<1%
12°C 45%
11°C 12%
10°C 9%
8°C o menos 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$46 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
12%
12°C
$0 Vol.
45%
13°C
$149 Vol.
47%
14°C
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
18°C o más
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 17 driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures elevated. Forecasts indicate the low will likely settle between 12–14 °C, consistent with the market-implied emphasis on 13 °C (40 %) and 12 °C (21.5 %), while historical September climatology shows an average minimum near 11 °C. Light rain and high humidity further suppress sharp drops, and with resolution hinging on official overnight readings, traders are closely monitoring the final model runs and real-time observations from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$2,309Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 17 driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures elevated. Forecasts indicate the low will likely settle between 12–14 °C, consistent with the market-implied emphasis on 13 °C (40 %) and 12 °C (21.5 %), while historical September climatology shows an average minimum near 11 °C. Light rain and high humidity further suppress sharp drops, and with resolution hinging on official overnight readings, traders are closely monitoring the final model runs and real-time observations from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,309Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF points to a mild overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 17 driven by persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover associated with an Atlantic low-pressure system, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures elevated. Forecasts indicate the low will likely settle between 12–14 °C, consistent with the market-implied emphasis on 13 °C (40 %) and 12 °C (21.5 %), while historical September climatology shows an average minimum near 11 °C. Light rain and high humidity further suppress sharp drops, and with resolution hinging on official overnight readings, traders are closely monitoring the final model runs and real-time observations from Schiphol.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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