Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Busan around 24–26°C on August 31, driven by a persistent stationary front and lingering summer monsoon conditions that sustain high humidity and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology for late August shows typical daily minima near 24°C, with tropical nights (overnight temperatures above 25°C) remaining common due to warm sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait and southerly flow. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which could modestly suppress the daily minimum depending on timing of any rainfall. Market-implied odds favoring 21°C or below likely reflect trader emphasis on potential short-term cooling from increased cloud cover or frontal passage, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance show limited support for such a sharp drop before the month ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Busan el 31 de agosto?
21°C or below 96%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
96%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
47%
21°C or below 96%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
96%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Busan around 24–26°C on August 31, driven by a persistent stationary front and lingering summer monsoon conditions that sustain high humidity and limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical climatology for late August shows typical daily minima near 24°C, with tropical nights (overnight temperatures above 25°C) remaining common due to warm sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait and southerly flow. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, which could modestly suppress the daily minimum depending on timing of any rainfall. Market-implied odds favoring 21°C or below likely reflect trader emphasis on potential short-term cooling from increased cloud cover or frontal passage, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance show limited support for such a sharp drop before the month ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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