Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 20 low clusters around 19–21°C because official forecasts and model runs show a tight range amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Overcast skies reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit further temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September basin conditions where minimums average near 19°C. Light winds under 5 km/h provide minimal mixing, and recent days of similar overcast weather have produced overnight lows of 20–21°C. Slight model disagreements on cloud persistence versus any late clearing create the narrow implied probabilities across outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from local meteorological stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 20 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 20 de septiembre?
16°C o menos 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
16°C o menos
100%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
46%
20°C
49%
21°C
53%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
16°C o menos 100%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
19°C 46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
100%
18°C
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$0 Vol.
46%
20°C
$47 Vol.
49%
21°C
$77 Vol.
53%
22°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 20 low clusters around 19–21°C because official forecasts and model runs show a tight range amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Overcast skies reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit further temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September basin conditions where minimums average near 19°C. Light winds under 5 km/h provide minimal mixing, and recent days of similar overcast weather have produced overnight lows of 20–21°C. Slight model disagreements on cloud persistence versus any late clearing create the narrow implied probabilities across outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$589Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 20 low clusters around 19–21°C because official forecasts and model runs show a tight range amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Overcast skies reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit further temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September basin conditions where minimums average near 19°C. Light winds under 5 km/h provide minimal mixing, and recent days of similar overcast weather have produced overnight lows of 20–21°C. Slight model disagreements on cloud persistence versus any late clearing create the narrow implied probabilities across outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$589Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 20 low clusters around 19–21°C because official forecasts and model runs show a tight range amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Overcast skies reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated dew points near 18–20°C limit further temperature drops, consistent with typical late-September basin conditions where minimums average near 19°C. Light winds under 5 km/h provide minimal mixing, and recent days of similar overcast weather have produced overnight lows of 20–21°C. Slight model disagreements on cloud persistence versus any late clearing create the narrow implied probabilities across outcomes, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from local meteorological stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes