Current NWS and ensemble model consensus points to minimal overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and persistent southerly flow, producing a minimum temperature in the low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. High heat capacity from recent daytime maxima near 100–102°F and dew points in the upper 60s limit the diurnal range, keeping the low anchored near 80–82°F with only modest model spread. Traders have clustered probability on 80–85°F bins because these align closely with official guidance and historical late-August normals under similar high-pressure patterns. Fresh model runs tonight or early tomorrow could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two depending on wind speed or cloud cover deviations, but no frontal passage or significant moisture advection is expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Dallas el 30 de agosto?
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
74-75°F 15%
78-79°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
71°F o menos
1%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
10%
90°F o más
7%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
74-75°F 15%
78-79°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
71°F o menos
$35 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$135 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$135 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$16 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$105 Vol.
10%
90°F o más
$105 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and ensemble model consensus points to minimal overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and persistent southerly flow, producing a minimum temperature in the low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. High heat capacity from recent daytime maxima near 100–102°F and dew points in the upper 60s limit the diurnal range, keeping the low anchored near 80–82°F with only modest model spread. Traders have clustered probability on 80–85°F bins because these align closely with official guidance and historical late-August normals under similar high-pressure patterns. Fresh model runs tonight or early tomorrow could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two depending on wind speed or cloud cover deviations, but no frontal passage or significant moisture advection is expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$531Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and ensemble model consensus points to minimal overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and persistent southerly flow, producing a minimum temperature in the low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. High heat capacity from recent daytime maxima near 100–102°F and dew points in the upper 60s limit the diurnal range, keeping the low anchored near 80–82°F with only modest model spread. Traders have clustered probability on 80–85°F bins because these align closely with official guidance and historical late-August normals under similar high-pressure patterns. Fresh model runs tonight or early tomorrow could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two depending on wind speed or cloud cover deviations, but no frontal passage or significant moisture advection is expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$531Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS and ensemble model consensus points to minimal overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and persistent southerly flow, producing a minimum temperature in the low 80s°F for Dallas on August 30. High heat capacity from recent daytime maxima near 100–102°F and dew points in the upper 60s limit the diurnal range, keeping the low anchored near 80–82°F with only modest model spread. Traders have clustered probability on 80–85°F bins because these align closely with official guidance and historical late-August normals under similar high-pressure patterns. Fresh model runs tonight or early tomorrow could shift the exact minimum by a degree or two depending on wind speed or cloud cover deviations, but no frontal passage or significant moisture advection is expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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