The verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de mayo?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
16 may 2026
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
-
21°C
1%
22°C
-
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
1%
28°C o más
-
23°C 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
16 may 2026
18°C o menos
$2,220 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
-
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,677 Vol.
-
23°C
$3,722 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,233 Vol.
1%
25°C
$8,433 Vol.
-
26°C
$5,324 Vol.
-
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
1%
28°C o más
$2,634 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$38,336Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$38,336Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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