Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AEMET and ECMWF points to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 15–16°C for Madrid on September 18. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows hover around 15°C amid transitional Atlantic high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in exact thresholds, as small shifts in dew point, residual cloud cover, or urban heat island effects could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily low, with probabilities clustered because current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 18 de septiembre?
12°C o menos 66%
17°C 38%
18°C 38%
14°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
12°C o menos
66%
13°C
27%
14°C
24%
15°C
27%
16°C
22%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
12°C o menos 66%
17°C 38%
18°C 38%
14°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
66%
13°C
$9 Vol.
27%
14°C
$19 Vol.
24%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AEMET and ECMWF points to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 15–16°C for Madrid on September 18. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows hover around 15°C amid transitional Atlantic high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in exact thresholds, as small shifts in dew point, residual cloud cover, or urban heat island effects could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily low, with probabilities clustered because current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$61Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AEMET and ECMWF points to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 15–16°C for Madrid on September 18. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows hover around 15°C amid transitional Atlantic high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in exact thresholds, as small shifts in dew point, residual cloud cover, or urban heat island effects could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily low, with probabilities clustered because current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$61Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AEMET and ECMWF points to overnight radiational cooling under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures near 15–16°C for Madrid on September 18. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average lows hover around 15°C amid transitional Atlantic high-pressure influence. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty in exact thresholds, as small shifts in dew point, residual cloud cover, or urban heat island effects could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily low, with probabilities clustered because current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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