Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Miami el 28 de agosto?
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,375 Vol.
$4,375 Vol.
28 ago 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$4,375 Vol.
$4,375 Vol.
28 ago 2026
67°F or below
$863 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$173 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$184 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$228 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$389 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$363 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$608 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$693 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$596 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$164 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$114 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$4,375Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,375Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Market-implied odds show near-certainty that Miami's lowest temperature on August 28 reached 80-81°F, driven by National Weather Service station observations confirming an overnight minimum in that narrow band. Late-August climatology in South Florida features persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points that limit radiational cooling, keeping diurnal lows typically between 78-82°F even under clear skies. Official data from Miami International Airport and surrounding ASOS sites align with this range, consistent with the absence of any tropical disturbance or frontal intrusion that could produce greater cooling. Traders' strong consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements over model projections. Only an unexpected station calibration issue or localized microclimate anomaly would realistically shift the recorded low outside 80-81°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes