**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 20, 2026 (78% implied probability), with 16°C a distant second at 19%.** Official KMA guidance and multiple global models (including consistent output from WeatherBug, Met Office, and others) project clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 18–19°C after daytime highs near 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where clear, dry conditions typically yield lows in that narrow band without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show strong agreement with no incoming fronts or precipitation, keeping downside risk to lower values (such as 16°C or below) limited. The market-implied odds reflect this consensus from authoritative forecasts, with the elevated weighting on 19°C capturing the most probable single outcome under current atmospheric stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 20 de septiembre?
19°C 93%
16°C 38%
18°C 10%
17°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
38%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
78%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superior
<1%
19°C 93%
16°C 38%
18°C 10%
17°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$41 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$196 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$225 Vol.
7%
18°C
$1,852 Vol.
10%
19°C
$1,098 Vol.
78%
20°C
$918 Vol.
1%
21°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
22°C o superior
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 20, 2026 (78% implied probability), with 16°C a distant second at 19%.**
Official KMA guidance and multiple global models (including consistent output from WeatherBug, Met Office, and others) project clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 18–19°C after daytime highs near 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where clear, dry conditions typically yield lows in that narrow band without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show strong agreement with no incoming fronts or precipitation, keeping downside risk to lower values (such as 16°C or below) limited. The market-implied odds reflect this consensus from authoritative forecasts, with the elevated weighting on 19°C capturing the most probable single outcome under current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,995Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 20, 2026 (78% implied probability), with 16°C a distant second at 19%.**
Official KMA guidance and multiple global models (including consistent output from WeatherBug, Met Office, and others) project clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 18–19°C after daytime highs near 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where clear, dry conditions typically yield lows in that narrow band without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show strong agreement with no incoming fronts or precipitation, keeping downside risk to lower values (such as 16°C or below) limited. The market-implied odds reflect this consensus from authoritative forecasts, with the elevated weighting on 19°C capturing the most probable single outcome under current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,995Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C as the lowest temperature in Seoul/Incheon on September 20, 2026 (78% implied probability), with 16°C a distant second at 19%.** Official KMA guidance and multiple global models (including consistent output from WeatherBug, Met Office, and others) project clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, producing overnight radiative cooling to a minimum of 18–19°C after daytime highs near 28–29°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where clear, dry conditions typically yield lows in that narrow band without significant cold advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show strong agreement with no incoming fronts or precipitation, keeping downside risk to lower values (such as 16°C or below) limited. The market-implied odds reflect this consensus from authoritative forecasts, with the elevated weighting on 19°C capturing the most probable single outcome under current atmospheric stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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