**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8, 2026, most likely in the 22–24°C range.** Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support moderate overnight cooling under typical early-September conditions for the region, where average lows hover near 23–25°C. Multiple forecasts converge on lows of 22.3–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), with limited precipitation risk overnight and no major synoptic features like typhoons or strong frontal systems altering the pattern in the latest runs. This distribution drives the market-implied odds, with 24°C leading at 36% followed by 23°C at 23% and 25°C at 19%, as traders weigh the narrow spread across ensemble guidance and historical analogs. Minor model disagreements on exact wind speeds or cloud cover introduce the modest probabilities for 21°C or 25°C, while extremes remain low given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated model outputs closer to the date will refine these probabilities, particularly any shifts in the steering flow or moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 8 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 8 de septiembre?
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
24°C 32%
26°C 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
18°C o menos
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
20%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
23%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
10%
28°C o más
1%
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
24°C 32%
26°C 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
18°C o menos
$103 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
32%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$63 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8, 2026, most likely in the 22–24°C range.** Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support moderate overnight cooling under typical early-September conditions for the region, where average lows hover near 23–25°C. Multiple forecasts converge on lows of 22.3–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), with limited precipitation risk overnight and no major synoptic features like typhoons or strong frontal systems altering the pattern in the latest runs.
This distribution drives the market-implied odds, with 24°C leading at 36% followed by 23°C at 23% and 25°C at 19%, as traders weigh the narrow spread across ensemble guidance and historical analogs. Minor model disagreements on exact wind speeds or cloud cover introduce the modest probabilities for 21°C or 25°C, while extremes remain low given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated model outputs closer to the date will refine these probabilities, particularly any shifts in the steering flow or moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$166Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8, 2026, most likely in the 22–24°C range.** Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support moderate overnight cooling under typical early-September conditions for the region, where average lows hover near 23–25°C. Multiple forecasts converge on lows of 22.3–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), with limited precipitation risk overnight and no major synoptic features like typhoons or strong frontal systems altering the pattern in the latest runs.
This distribution drives the market-implied odds, with 24°C leading at 36% followed by 23°C at 23% and 25°C at 19%, as traders weigh the narrow spread across ensemble guidance and historical analogs. Minor model disagreements on exact wind speeds or cloud cover introduce the modest probabilities for 21°C or 25°C, while extremes remain low given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated model outputs closer to the date will refine these probabilities, particularly any shifts in the steering flow or moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$166Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 8, 2026, most likely in the 22–24°C range.** Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to support moderate overnight cooling under typical early-September conditions for the region, where average lows hover near 23–25°C. Multiple forecasts converge on lows of 22.3–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), with limited precipitation risk overnight and no major synoptic features like typhoons or strong frontal systems altering the pattern in the latest runs. This distribution drives the market-implied odds, with 24°C leading at 36% followed by 23°C at 23% and 25°C at 19%, as traders weigh the narrow spread across ensemble guidance and historical analogs. Minor model disagreements on exact wind speeds or cloud cover introduce the modest probabilities for 21°C or 25°C, while extremes remain low given the stable high-pressure influence. Updated model outputs closer to the date will refine these probabilities, particularly any shifts in the steering flow or moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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