Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in the market’s 94.5% Republican outcome probability. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including large 2024 presidential margins, combined with Hyde-Smith’s primary dominance and the state’s absence of a Democratic U.S. senator since 1982, anchor trader assessments. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has directed limited resources here. Recent polling shows Democrat Scott Colom narrowing the gap after candidate information and performing better among Black voters, who comprise nearly a third of the electorate, while an independent candidate adds some vote-splitting uncertainty. A major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout surge could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Mississippi
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Mississippi
$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Demócrata
7%
$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$26,924 Vol.
95%
Demócrata
$17,715 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in the market’s 94.5% Republican outcome probability. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including large 2024 presidential margins, combined with Hyde-Smith’s primary dominance and the state’s absence of a Democratic U.S. senator since 1982, anchor trader assessments. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has directed limited resources here. Recent polling shows Democrat Scott Colom narrowing the gap after candidate information and performing better among Black voters, who comprise nearly a third of the electorate, while an independent candidate adds some vote-splitting uncertainty. A major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout surge could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$44,639Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in the market’s 94.5% Republican outcome probability. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including large 2024 presidential margins, combined with Hyde-Smith’s primary dominance and the state’s absence of a Democratic U.S. senator since 1982, anchor trader assessments. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has directed limited resources here. Recent polling shows Democrat Scott Colom narrowing the gap after candidate information and performing better among Black voters, who comprise nearly a third of the electorate, while an independent candidate adds some vote-splitting uncertainty. A major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout surge could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$44,639Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi’s 2026 Senate race, reflected in the market’s 94.5% Republican outcome probability. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including large 2024 presidential margins, combined with Hyde-Smith’s primary dominance and the state’s absence of a Democratic U.S. senator since 1982, anchor trader assessments. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has directed limited resources here. Recent polling shows Democrat Scott Colom narrowing the gap after candidate information and performing better among Black voters, who comprise nearly a third of the electorate, while an independent candidate adds some vote-splitting uncertainty. A major scandal, health event, or sharp turnout surge could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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