Skip to main content
icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Política·Elecciones Globales

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar
Política·Elecciones Globales

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar

Rafael López Aliaga 99.6%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

Polymarket

$1,140,154 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 99.6%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino <1%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

Polymarket

$1,140,154 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$257,072 Vol.

100%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$31,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$182,408 Vol.

<1%

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$30,639 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$26,675 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$24,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$67,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$22,633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$25,941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$29,022 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$27,974 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$25,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$24,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$147,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$22,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$25,190 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$22,347 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$21,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$24,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$22,988 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$28,513 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With 99.99% of votes counted as of May 14, trader consensus on Polymarket solidly positions Rafael López Aliaga as the third-place finisher in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, garnering 11.91%—just behind Roberto Sánchez's 12.03% and ahead of Jorge Nieto's 10.97%. Keiko Fujimori leads at 17.18%, securing her and Sánchez spots in the June 7 runoff. This reflects the National Elections Jury's (JNE) April 24 rejection of López Aliaga's fraud allegations and annulment demands, upheld by EU observers amid logistical probes like the ONPE head's resignation. Official proclamation is slated for May 17; realistic challenges include unresolved legal actions or a recount flipping the tight second-third margin, though barriers remain high given confirmed tallies.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$1,140,154
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)With 99.99% of votes counted as of May 14, trader consensus on Polymarket solidly positions Rafael López Aliaga as the third-place finisher in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, garnering 11.91%—just behind Roberto Sánchez's 12.03% and ahead of Jorge Nieto's 10.97%. Keiko Fujimori leads at 17.18%, securing her and Sánchez spots in the June 7 runoff. This reflects the National Elections Jury's (JNE) April 24 rejection of López Aliaga's fraud allegations and annulment demands, upheld by EU observers amid logistical probes like the ONPE head's resignation. Official proclamation is slated for May 17; realistic challenges include unresolved legal actions or a recount flipping the tight second-third margin, though barriers remain high given confirmed tallies.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$1,140,154
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 100%, seguido de "Carlos Álvarez" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 20, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar" es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Carlos Álvarez" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú: 3er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.