Skip to main content
icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

$91,533 Vol.

31 jul 2026
Polymarket

$91,533 Vol.

Polymarket

$91,533 Vol.

5%

August 31

$0 Vol.

37%

December 31

$0 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament, elected in December 2024 for a full term ending in 2028, shows no credible path to dissolution by July 31 amid the ongoing government formation process following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan. President Nicușor Dan has prioritized consultations to assemble a new pro-European coalition from mainstream parties rather than repeated prime ministerial nominations that could trigger constitutional dissolution powers, which remain discretionary and have never been exercised since 1989. Moderate parties resist early elections due to polling showing far-right AUR in the lead, while AUR itself lacks the leverage to force the outcome. The narrow remaining window and focus on interim stability reinforce trader consensus against dissolution, though a complete breakdown in coalition talks before the deadline could still alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$91,533
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament, elected in December 2024 for a full term ending in 2028, shows no credible path to dissolution by July 31 amid the ongoing government formation process following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan. President Nicușor Dan has prioritized consultations to assemble a new pro-European coalition from mainstream parties rather than repeated prime ministerial nominations that could trigger constitutional dissolution powers, which remain discretionary and have never been exercised since 1989. Moderate parties resist early elections due to polling showing far-right AUR in the lead, while AUR itself lacks the leverage to force the outcome. The narrow remaining window and focus on interim stability reinforce trader consensus against dissolution, though a complete breakdown in coalition talks before the deadline could still alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$91,533
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "December 31" con 43%, seguido de "August 31" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" ha generado $91.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" es "December 31" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "August 31" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.