Recent polling from the Catalan government's Centre for Opinion Studies and national aggregators positions the PSOE-affiliated PSC as the clear leader in Catalonia ahead of the November 29 general election, with projected vote shares around 29-31% and 16-19 of the region's 48 Congress seats. This reflects sustained support for the governing socialists amid national trends favoring PSOE over the PP, even as left-wing fragmentation between groups like Frente Amplio and Podemos limits unified opposition. Pro-independence parties ERC and Junts trail significantly in regional projections, while Vox and PP show gains but remain behind. Trader consensus at 92% for PSOE incorporates these consistent survey leads and limited late-cycle volatility. Unexpected turnout shifts among independence voters or last-minute coalition signals could still narrow the margin before election day.