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Política·Primarias

TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Scott DesJarlais 89%

Tom Davis 7%

Harold "Rocky" Jones 5.4%

Joshua James 5.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Scott DesJarlais 89%

Tom Davis 7%

Harold "Rocky" Jones 5.4%

Joshua James 5.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Scott DesJarlais

$151 Vol.

89%

Tom Davis

$40 Vol.

7%

Harold "Rocky" Jones

$29 Vol.

5%

Joshua James

$29 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$248
Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$248
Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Scott DesJarlais" con 89%, seguido de "Tom Davis" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Scott DesJarlais" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Davis" con 7%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "TN-04 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.