Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% approve and broader averages near 37-40%. Persistent economic pressures, including record-low net ratings on inflation, prices, and cost of living alongside net-negative readings across all tracked issues, anchor sentiment near current levels. The Iran conflict and related foreign policy strains have further weighed on support, while Republican strong approval has declined notably since January. With the September 4 resolution window approaching and no major catalysts imminent, traders see limited near-term movement, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 38.0-38.9 range. Fresh economic data releases or diplomatic developments could still shift the final reading within that narrow band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado38.5–38.9 32%
38.0–38.4 28%
39.0+ 23%
37.5–37.9 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
<37.0
4%
37.0–37.4
6%
37.5–37.9
16%
38.0–38.4
28%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0+
23%
38.5–38.9 32%
38.0–38.4 28%
39.0+ 23%
37.5–37.9 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
<37.0
$41 Vol.
4%
37.0–37.4
$21 Vol.
6%
37.5–37.9
$97 Vol.
16%
38.0–38.4
$21 Vol.
28%
38.5–38.9
$176 Vol.
32%
39.0+
$26 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% approve and broader averages near 37-40%. Persistent economic pressures, including record-low net ratings on inflation, prices, and cost of living alongside net-negative readings across all tracked issues, anchor sentiment near current levels. The Iran conflict and related foreign policy strains have further weighed on support, while Republican strong approval has declined notably since January. With the September 4 resolution window approaching and no major catalysts imminent, traders see limited near-term movement, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 38.0-38.9 range. Fresh economic data releases or diplomatic developments could still shift the final reading within that narrow band.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volumen
$381Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% approve and broader averages near 37-40%. Persistent economic pressures, including record-low net ratings on inflation, prices, and cost of living alongside net-negative readings across all tracked issues, anchor sentiment near current levels. The Iran conflict and related foreign policy strains have further weighed on support, while Republican strong approval has declined notably since January. With the September 4 resolution window approaching and no major catalysts imminent, traders see limited near-term movement, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 38.0-38.9 range. Fresh economic data releases or diplomatic developments could still shift the final reading within that narrow band.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$381Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with aggregates such as RealClearPolitics at 39.9% approve and broader averages near 37-40%. Persistent economic pressures, including record-low net ratings on inflation, prices, and cost of living alongside net-negative readings across all tracked issues, anchor sentiment near current levels. The Iran conflict and related foreign policy strains have further weighed on support, while Republican strong approval has declined notably since January. With the September 4 resolution window approaching and no major catalysts imminent, traders see limited near-term movement, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 38.0-38.9 range. Fresh economic data releases or diplomatic developments could still shift the final reading within that narrow band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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