With the presidential term extending well beyond late May 2026 and no active impeachment proceedings or constitutional removal processes underway in Congress, traders assign overwhelming probability to Donald Trump remaining in office through May 31. The two-week window leaves little room for the lengthy legislative or judicial steps required for removal, such as House impeachment followed by Senate conviction. Historical patterns show such actions unfold over months rather than days. Still, unforeseen developments like a sudden resignation, severe health incident, or unexpected legal ruling could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though none appear imminent based on current political dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,618,201 Vol.
$1,618,201 Vol.
31 may 2026
$1,618,201 Vol.
$1,618,201 Vol.
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With the presidential term extending well beyond late May 2026 and no active impeachment proceedings or constitutional removal processes underway in Congress, traders assign overwhelming probability to Donald Trump remaining in office through May 31. The two-week window leaves little room for the lengthy legislative or judicial steps required for removal, such as House impeachment followed by Senate conviction. Historical patterns show such actions unfold over months rather than days. Still, unforeseen developments like a sudden resignation, severe health incident, or unexpected legal ruling could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though none appear imminent based on current political dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$1,618,201Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With the presidential term extending well beyond late May 2026 and no active impeachment proceedings or constitutional removal processes underway in Congress, traders assign overwhelming probability to Donald Trump remaining in office through May 31. The two-week window leaves little room for the lengthy legislative or judicial steps required for removal, such as House impeachment followed by Senate conviction. Historical patterns show such actions unfold over months rather than days. Still, unforeseen developments like a sudden resignation, severe health incident, or unexpected legal ruling could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though none appear imminent based on current political dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,618,201Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the presidential term extending well beyond late May 2026 and no active impeachment proceedings or constitutional removal processes underway in Congress, traders assign overwhelming probability to Donald Trump remaining in office through May 31. The two-week window leaves little room for the lengthy legislative or judicial steps required for removal, such as House impeachment followed by Senate conviction. Historical patterns show such actions unfold over months rather than days. Still, unforeseen developments like a sudden resignation, severe health incident, or unexpected legal ruling could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though none appear imminent based on current political dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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