President Donald Trump briefly proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would impose a 20% transit fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz to offset naval security costs amid escalating tensions with Iran, but reversed the plan within 24 hours in favor of Gulf state investment and trade commitments. The International Maritime Organization has stated there is no legal basis for mandatory tolls under international maritime law, while ongoing US-Iran diplomacy and freedom-of-navigation principles have kept implementation off the agenda. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these developments, with implied probabilities for US imposition by year-end remaining low as no legislative, executive, or operational steps have advanced since the July pivot. Key upcoming factors include any renewed escalation in the region or shifts in administration policy statements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Estados Unidos cobra las tarifas de Hormuz por...?
¿Estados Unidos cobra las tarifas de Hormuz por...?
$962,375 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de agosto
1%
31 de diciembre
7%
$962,375 Vol.
31 de agosto
$176,364 Vol.
1%
31 de diciembre
$98,858 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump briefly proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would impose a 20% transit fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz to offset naval security costs amid escalating tensions with Iran, but reversed the plan within 24 hours in favor of Gulf state investment and trade commitments. The International Maritime Organization has stated there is no legal basis for mandatory tolls under international maritime law, while ongoing US-Iran diplomacy and freedom-of-navigation principles have kept implementation off the agenda. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these developments, with implied probabilities for US imposition by year-end remaining low as no legislative, executive, or operational steps have advanced since the July pivot. Key upcoming factors include any renewed escalation in the region or shifts in administration policy statements.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volumen
$962,375Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump briefly proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would impose a 20% transit fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz to offset naval security costs amid escalating tensions with Iran, but reversed the plan within 24 hours in favor of Gulf state investment and trade commitments. The International Maritime Organization has stated there is no legal basis for mandatory tolls under international maritime law, while ongoing US-Iran diplomacy and freedom-of-navigation principles have kept implementation off the agenda. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these developments, with implied probabilities for US imposition by year-end remaining low as no legislative, executive, or operational steps have advanced since the July pivot. Key upcoming factors include any renewed escalation in the region or shifts in administration policy statements.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$962,375Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump briefly proposed in mid-July 2026 that the United States would impose a 20% transit fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz to offset naval security costs amid escalating tensions with Iran, but reversed the plan within 24 hours in favor of Gulf state investment and trade commitments. The International Maritime Organization has stated there is no legal basis for mandatory tolls under international maritime law, while ongoing US-Iran diplomacy and freedom-of-navigation principles have kept implementation off the agenda. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these developments, with implied probabilities for US imposition by year-end remaining low as no legislative, executive, or operational steps have advanced since the July pivot. Key upcoming factors include any renewed escalation in the region or shifts in administration policy statements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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