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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$567,264 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$567,264 Vol.

Polymarket

Somalilandia

$61,801 Vol.

19%

Azerbaiyán

$43,147 Vol.

15%

Líbano

$58,017 Vol.

14%

Omán

$145,328 Vol.

13%

Kuwait

$22,614 Vol.

13%

Arabia Saudita

$89,001 Vol.

13%

Siria

$147,356 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords centers on Central Asian and Horn of Africa candidates following Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 and Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which immediately signaled its intent to normalize. Saudi Arabia continues back-channel technical talks but ties any full normalization to verifiable progress on a Gaza ceasefire and Palestinian statehood pathway, a condition repeatedly emphasized by Riyadh’s leadership amid domestic polling showing strong public opposition. Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Iran have prompted quiet defense coordination discussions involving Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait, yet none have advanced to formal accords commitments. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and phased Gaza negotiations before the December 2026 resolution window remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift normalization timelines for multiple states.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$567,264
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum for expanding the Abraham Accords centers on Central Asian and Horn of Africa candidates following Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025 and Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, which immediately signaled its intent to normalize. Saudi Arabia continues back-channel technical talks but ties any full normalization to verifiable progress on a Gaza ceasefire and Palestinian statehood pathway, a condition repeatedly emphasized by Riyadh’s leadership amid domestic polling showing strong public opposition. Ongoing regional security concerns tied to Iran have prompted quiet defense coordination discussions involving Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait, yet none have advanced to formal accords commitments. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and phased Gaza negotiations before the December 2026 resolution window remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift normalization timelines for multiple states.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$567,264
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Somalilandia" con 19%, seguido de "Azerbaiyán" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $567.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Somalilandia" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Azerbaiyán" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.