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icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$1,663,826 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,663,826 Vol.

Polymarket

Kuwait

$75,659 Vol.

10%

Arabia Saudita

$348,637 Vol.

9%

Somalilandia

$117,089 Vol.

9%

Líbano

$76,955 Vol.

8%

Siria

$164,512 Vol.

7%

Jordan

$9,994 Vol.

7%

Egypt

$7,414 Vol.

6%

Qatar

$8,800 Vol.

5%

Omán

$182,170 Vol.

5%

Azerbaiyán

$175,784 Vol.

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Turkey

$487,763 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic signals and regional security pressures are shaping prospects for new Abraham Accords signatories before the end of 2026. Israel's ambassador to the UAE indicated in mid-September 2026 that Kuwait could join within four to six months, citing shifting Kuwaiti perceptions after Iranian attacks. Israel and Morocco advanced existing ties with agreements to open full embassies, resume direct flights, and finalize investment pacts by year-end. U.S. President Trump has conditioned Saudi nuclear cooperation on normalization while urging broader participation from Qatar, Pakistan, and others. Saudi Arabia maintains its linkage to Palestinian statehood progress amid Houthi threats and reported quiet security talks with Israel. These developments, alongside Kazakhstan's 2025 accession, highlight how shared concerns over Iran and economic incentives could accelerate additional normalizations ahead of the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,663,826
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic signals and regional security pressures are shaping prospects for new Abraham Accords signatories before the end of 2026. Israel's ambassador to the UAE indicated in mid-September 2026 that Kuwait could join within four to six months, citing shifting Kuwaiti perceptions after Iranian attacks. Israel and Morocco advanced existing ties with agreements to open full embassies, resume direct flights, and finalize investment pacts by year-end. U.S. President Trump has conditioned Saudi nuclear cooperation on normalization while urging broader participation from Qatar, Pakistan, and others. Saudi Arabia maintains its linkage to Palestinian statehood progress amid Houthi threats and reported quiet security talks with Israel. These developments, alongside Kazakhstan's 2025 accession, highlight how shared concerns over Iran and economic incentives could accelerate additional normalizations ahead of the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,663,826
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kuwait" con 10%, seguido de "Arabia Saudita" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $1.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Kuwait" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arabia Saudita" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.