No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, keeping the field wide open and elevating the "Other" category to a 50% trader consensus. Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% amid ongoing speculation about governors testing the waters through reelection reflections and national events, while Gavin Newsom at 20% benefits from his early shadow campaign moves and California profile. Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna follow with lower implied probabilities reflecting their public teases but lack of concrete timelines. Midterm positioning, polling trends among early contenders, and the absence of major announcements continue to shape expectations for the first declaration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuál de estos demócratas será el primero en anunciar su candidatura a la presidencia?
¿Cuál de estos demócratas será el primero en anunciar su candidatura a la presidencia?
Andy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 20.0%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Kamala Harris 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2028
Andy Beshear
29%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Pete Buttigieg
14%
Kamala Harris
13%
Ro Khanna
9%
Rahm Emanuel
8%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Jon Ossoff
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Andy Beshear 29%
Gavin Newsom 20.0%
Pete Buttigieg 14%
Kamala Harris 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2028
Andy Beshear
$1,880 Vol.
29%
Gavin Newsom
$2,758 Vol.
20%
Pete Buttigieg
$580 Vol.
14%
Kamala Harris
$504 Vol.
13%
Ro Khanna
$383 Vol.
9%
Rahm Emanuel
$512 Vol.
8%
Josh Shapiro
$306 Vol.
4%
Jon Ossoff
$306 Vol.
2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$391 Vol.
2%
Jon Stewart
$364 Vol.
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
$284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, keeping the field wide open and elevating the "Other" category to a 50% trader consensus. Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% amid ongoing speculation about governors testing the waters through reelection reflections and national events, while Gavin Newsom at 20% benefits from his early shadow campaign moves and California profile. Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna follow with lower implied probabilities reflecting their public teases but lack of concrete timelines. Midterm positioning, polling trends among early contenders, and the absence of major announcements continue to shape expectations for the first declaration.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Volumen
$8,270Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, keeping the field wide open and elevating the "Other" category to a 50% trader consensus. Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% amid ongoing speculation about governors testing the waters through reelection reflections and national events, while Gavin Newsom at 20% benefits from his early shadow campaign moves and California profile. Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna follow with lower implied probabilities reflecting their public teases but lack of concrete timelines. Midterm positioning, polling trends among early contenders, and the absence of major announcements continue to shape expectations for the first declaration.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,270Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...No Democratic contenders have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of August 2026, keeping the field wide open and elevating the "Other" category to a 50% trader consensus. Andy Beshear leads listed options at 28.5% amid ongoing speculation about governors testing the waters through reelection reflections and national events, while Gavin Newsom at 20% benefits from his early shadow campaign moves and California profile. Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and Ro Khanna follow with lower implied probabilities reflecting their public teases but lack of concrete timelines. Midterm positioning, polling trends among early contenders, and the absence of major announcements continue to shape expectations for the first declaration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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