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Política·Congreso

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?
Política·Congreso

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

$35,232 Vol.

31 may 2026
Polymarket

$35,232 Vol.

Polymarket

May 15

$4,789 Vol.

<1%

May 22

$23,393 Vol.

71%

May 31

$7,050 Vol.

85%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans, holding slim majorities, passed a FY2026 budget resolution (S.Con.Res. 33) in late April, unlocking reconciliation instructions for a $72 billion package primarily funding Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) to address partial Department of Homeland Security funding shortfalls. Senate committees released the initial draft on May 4, with Byrd Rule review by the parliamentarian set to begin this week to ensure compliance and avoid filibuster challenges. Upcoming committee markups and floor votes in both chambers are targeted before the Memorial Day recess, aiming for President Trump's signature by early June, though intra-party holdouts or procedural hurdles could delay passage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$35,232
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Senate Republicans, holding slim majorities, passed a FY2026 budget resolution (S.Con.Res. 33) in late April, unlocking reconciliation instructions for a $72 billion package primarily funding Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) to address partial Department of Homeland Security funding shortfalls. Senate committees released the initial draft on May 4, with Byrd Rule review by the parliamentarian set to begin this week to ensure compliance and avoid filibuster challenges. Upcoming committee markups and floor votes in both chambers are targeted before the Memorial Day recess, aiming for President Trump's signature by early June, though intra-party holdouts or procedural hurdles could delay passage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$35,232
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "May 31" con 85%, seguido de "May 22" con 71%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" ha generado $35.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 4, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" es "May 31" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 22" con 71%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.