Persistent tensions from the 2026 Iran-US conflict, including late-February military exchanges and a fragile ceasefire, have kept formal diplomatic restoration off the agenda. Indirect talks through Swiss, Omani, and Pakistani channels have focused on de-escalation and limited nuclear restrictions rather than full normalization or embassy operations. Early-May US sanctions on Iranian oil exports followed rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal, underscoring maximum-pressure tactics over engagement. Switzerland continues its protecting-power role with a gradual embassy reopening in Tehran, yet no parallel steps toward direct US representation have emerged. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy reopening by year-end remains structurally improbable absent a comprehensive agreement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
¿Reabrirá Estados Unidos su embajada en Irán en 2026?
Sí
$80,059 Vol.
$80,059 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$80,059 Vol.
$80,059 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent tensions from the 2026 Iran-US conflict, including late-February military exchanges and a fragile ceasefire, have kept formal diplomatic restoration off the agenda. Indirect talks through Swiss, Omani, and Pakistani channels have focused on de-escalation and limited nuclear restrictions rather than full normalization or embassy operations. Early-May US sanctions on Iranian oil exports followed rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal, underscoring maximum-pressure tactics over engagement. Switzerland continues its protecting-power role with a gradual embassy reopening in Tehran, yet no parallel steps toward direct US representation have emerged. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy reopening by year-end remains structurally improbable absent a comprehensive agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$80,059Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent tensions from the 2026 Iran-US conflict, including late-February military exchanges and a fragile ceasefire, have kept formal diplomatic restoration off the agenda. Indirect talks through Swiss, Omani, and Pakistani channels have focused on de-escalation and limited nuclear restrictions rather than full normalization or embassy operations. Early-May US sanctions on Iranian oil exports followed rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal, underscoring maximum-pressure tactics over engagement. Switzerland continues its protecting-power role with a gradual embassy reopening in Tehran, yet no parallel steps toward direct US representation have emerged. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy reopening by year-end remains structurally improbable absent a comprehensive agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$80,059Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent tensions from the 2026 Iran-US conflict, including late-February military exchanges and a fragile ceasefire, have kept formal diplomatic restoration off the agenda. Indirect talks through Swiss, Omani, and Pakistani channels have focused on de-escalation and limited nuclear restrictions rather than full normalization or embassy operations. Early-May US sanctions on Iranian oil exports followed rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal, underscoring maximum-pressure tactics over engagement. Switzerland continues its protecting-power role with a gradual embassy reopening in Tehran, yet no parallel steps toward direct US representation have emerged. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy reopening by year-end remains structurally improbable absent a comprehensive agreement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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