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icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$266,171 Vol.

31 may 2026
Polymarket

$266,171 Vol.

Polymarket

May 13

$1,190 Vol.

1%

May 14

$127 Vol.

27%

May 15

$6 Vol.

13%

May 16

$0 Vol.

21%

May 17

$4 Vol.

42%

May 18

$0 Vol.

21%

May 19

$0 Vol.

19%

May 20

$57 Vol.

22%

May 21

$0 Vol.

41%

May 22

$0 Vol.

41%

May 23

$0 Vol.

20%

May 24

$0 Vol.

21%

May 25

$0 Vol.

21%

May 26

$0 Vol.

21%

May 27

$0 Vol.

21%

May 28

$0 Vol.

21%

May 29

$0 Vol.

22%

May 30

$6 Vol.

21%

May 31

$24 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.President Trump's signature "Trump dance"—the fist-pumping, hip-swaying routine to YMCA—remains a viral pop culture staple, blending politics with entertainment and fueling Polymarket's recurring daily markets on whether he'll perform it publicly. Trader sentiment hinges on his pattern of surprise dances at event finales, as seen in the May 5 White House South Lawn fitness gathering where he taught the moves to students, sparking widespread social media clips and Melania's humorous reaction. With no U.S. events today but a high-profile State Banquet in Beijing alongside Xi Jinping this evening (local time), ceremonial music could prompt an impromptu appearance; resolution requires clear video of deliberate rhythmic motion within the 24-hour ET window, amid rapid odds swings from live footage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$266,171
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.President Trump's signature "Trump dance"—the fist-pumping, hip-swaying routine to YMCA—remains a viral pop culture staple, blending politics with entertainment and fueling Polymarket's recurring daily markets on whether he'll perform it publicly. Trader sentiment hinges on his pattern of surprise dances at event finales, as seen in the May 5 White House South Lawn fitness gathering where he taught the moves to students, sparking widespread social media clips and Melania's humorous reaction. With no U.S. events today but a high-profile State Banquet in Beijing alongside Xi Jinping this evening (local time), ceremonial music could prompt an impromptu appearance; resolution requires clear video of deliberate rhythmic motion within the 24-hour ET window, amid rapid odds swings from live footage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volumen
$266,171
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Trump dance on...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 31 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "May 1" con 100%, seguido de "May 5" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Trump dance on...?" ha generado $266.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Trump dance on...?", explora los 31 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will Trump dance on...?" es "May 1" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 5" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Trump dance on...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.