Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$182,275 Vol.
28 feb 2027
1,1 millones
100%
1,2 millones
56%
1,3 millones
19%
1,4 millones
8%
1,5 millones
7%
1,7 millones
3%
2 millones
3%
$182,275 Vol.
1,1 millones
$20,561 Vol.
100%
1,2 millones
$10,418 Vol.
56%
1,3 millones
$7,633 Vol.
19%
1,4 millones
$19,769 Vol.
8%
1,5 millones
$9,719 Vol.
7%
1,7 millones
$58,787 Vol.
3%
2 millones
$16,311 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volumen
$182,275Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volumen
$182,275Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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