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Sports·FIFA World Cup

2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

icon for 2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Sports·FIFA World Cup

2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer

Kylian Mbappe 18%

Harry Kane 15%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Ousmane Dembele 7.0%

Polymarket

$84,241 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe 18%

Harry Kane 15%

Mikel Oyarzabal 8%

Ousmane Dembele 7.0%

Polymarket

$84,241 Vol.

Kylian Mbappe

$10,568 Vol.

18%

Harry Kane

$3,373 Vol.

15%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$6,041 Vol.

8%

Ousmane Dembele

$3,533 Vol.

7%

Lautaro Martinez

$998 Vol.

7%

Lionel Messi

$2,467 Vol.

7%

Erling Haaland

$6,376 Vol.

7%

Vinicius Junior

$1,482 Vol.

5%

Ferran Torres

$5,202 Vol.

4%

Michael Olise

$4,756 Vol.

4%

Lamine Yamal

$3,666 Vol.

4%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$5,320 Vol.

4%

Scott McTominay

$699 Vol.

4%

Julian Alvarez

$4,274 Vol.

4%

Igor Thiago

$805 Vol.

3%

Mohamed Salah

$365 Vol.

3%

Deniz Undav

$562 Vol.

3%

Bruno Fernandes

$1,113 Vol.

3%

Raphinha

$1,826 Vol.

2%

Depay Memphis

$695 Vol.

2%

Heung-Min Son

$597 Vol.

2%

Cody Gakpo

$835 Vol.

2%

Viktor Gyökeres

$424 Vol.

1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,813 Vol.

1%

Andrej Kramarić

$221 Vol.

1%

Rafael Leao

$358 Vol.

1%

Marcus Thuram

$417 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$1,457 Vol.

1%

Jude Bellingham

$355 Vol.

1%

Rodrygo

$3,832 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$460 Vol.

1%

Sadio Mane

$290 Vol.

1%

Federico Valverde

$283 Vol.

1%

Amad Diallo

$290 Vol.

1%

Edin Džeko

$243 Vol.

1%

Dani Olmo

$353 Vol.

1%

Desire Doue

$283 Vol.

1%

Antoine Semenyo

$283 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$5,551 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$228 Vol.

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$608 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$385 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$272 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$283 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elite strikers' recent club-season form has kept the 2026 FIFA World Cup top goalscorer market tightly contested among traders. Kylian Mbappé leads at 17.5% implied probability after strong output for Real Madrid, while Harry Kane sits close at 15% on the strength of his prolific scoring for Bayern Munich. Supporting options such as Mikel Oyarzabal, Ousmane Dembele, and Lautaro Martinez draw support from consistent domestic tallies, and veterans like Lionel Messi leverage prior tournament pedigree. This competitive dynamic stems from the expanded field, deep runs expected for several strong sides, and absence of a single dominant forward ahead of the June kickoff.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$84,241
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elite strikers' recent club-season form has kept the 2026 FIFA World Cup top goalscorer market tightly contested among traders. Kylian Mbappé leads at 17.5% implied probability after strong output for Real Madrid, while Harry Kane sits close at 15% on the strength of his prolific scoring for Bayern Munich. Supporting options such as Mikel Oyarzabal, Ousmane Dembele, and Lautaro Martinez draw support from consistent domestic tallies, and veterans like Lionel Messi leverage prior tournament pedigree. This competitive dynamic stems from the expanded field, deep runs expected for several strong sides, and absence of a single dominant forward ahead of the June kickoff.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$84,241
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 18%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" has generated $84.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.